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Jürgen Matthes IW-Policy Paper No. 3 4. June 2024 Strategic autonomy and economic security achieve efficiently

In this study an analytical scheme is developed to operationalise the objective of strategic autonomy in a cost-effective way.

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Strategic autonomy and economic security achieve efficiently
Jürgen Matthes IW-Policy Paper No. 3 4. June 2024

Strategic autonomy and economic security achieve efficiently

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

In this study an analytical scheme is developed to operationalise the objective of strategic autonomy in a cost-effective way.

This is highly relevant as the concept of strategic autonomy is fuzzy and can therefore easily be misinterpreted in a way that would lead to large government subsidies for inefficient purposes in a time of high public debts, low growth and many other public spending needs.

The main criteria of the analytical scheme are the degree of critical import dependency on a specific product, the existence of production in the EU and a long-term comparative advantage for this product, as well as the possibility of diversified friendshoring to secure the supply of this product. Based on a product-specific eva-luation of these criteria, it can be decided whether or not government intervention is justified in order to achieve sufficient de-risking of critical import dependencies. This is illustrated using several examples, including raw materials, pharmaceuticals, electric vehicles, batteries for electric vehicles and solar modules.

If government intervention is found to be justified, the choice of instrument should be based on the principle that the degree of intervention should be minimised, provided that de-risking objective is sufficiently achieved. Several instruments such as warehousing, incentives for firm-based de-risking, trade barriers and subsidies are discussed. Weighing their pros and cons, it is derived that subsidies in general should be the last resort, i.e. only to be applied if other instruments are insufficient.

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Strategic autonomy and economic security achieve efficiently
Jürgen Matthes IW-Policy Paper No. 3 4. June 2024

Strategic autonomy and economic security achieve efficiently

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

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Hergestellt in China. Kartons mit Text aus China und chinesischer Flagge auf dem Rollenband.
Jürgen Matthes / Edgar Schmitz IW-Report No. 30 11. June 2024

Competitive pressure from China for German companies

A firm survey conducted in March/April 2024 as part of the IW-Zukunftspanel among around 900 German companies from the manufacturing and industrial services sectors shows that around 350 of the companies surveyed have Chinese competitors in their markets.

IW

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Samina Sultan at IEP@BU Policy Brief External Publication 17. April 2024

Not so Different?: Dependency of the German and Italian Industry on China Intermediate Inputs

On average the German and Italian industry display a very similar intermediate input dependence on China, whether accounting for domestic inputs or not.

IW

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