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Markus Demary / Michael Hüther in Intereconomics External Publication 15. February 2022 How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone

The rapid recovery of demand combined with supply constraints has led to rising prices during the past months. This is evident in oil and gas markets, but also in international trade, which has been thrown out of step by bottlenecks at Asian ports.

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How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone
Markus Demary / Michael Hüther in Intereconomics External Publication 15. February 2022

How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

The rapid recovery of demand combined with supply constraints has led to rising prices during the past months. This is evident in oil and gas markets, but also in international trade, which has been thrown out of step by bottlenecks at Asian ports.

This situation creates a trade-off for the European Central Bank, because a more expansionary monetary policy cannot mitigate the supply bottlenecks and supply-side restrictions, while a more restrictive monetary policy would slow down the economic recovery. For this reason, key interest rate hikes in the eurozone are not to be expected for 2022. If the supply-side factors become persistent and wage policy tries to pass the price effects on, monetary policy will be forced to become restrictive

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External Publication
How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone
Markus Demary / Michael Hüther in Intereconomics External Publication 15. February 2022

How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

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Europe votes: Who cares and why?
Matthias Diermeier / Judith Niehues / Samina Sultan IW-Report No. 29 7. June 2024

Europe votes: Who cares and why?

This study, based on the IW-People Survey 2024, shows that around 62% of Germans consider the election of the European Parliament to be important. This is the result of around 5,200 respondents. The proportion is therefore roughly as high as the voter turnout ...

IW

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Samina Sultan at IEP@BU Policy Brief External Publication 17. April 2024

Not so Different?: Dependency of the German and Italian Industry on China Intermediate Inputs

On average the German and Italian industry display a very similar intermediate input dependence on China, whether accounting for domestic inputs or not.

IW

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